Why Bitcoin Is Rising Again: ETF Demand And Short Squeeze Explained

Bitcoin Reclaims $68,000 (Image Courtesy: X)
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Bitcoin has staged a sharp rebound, climbing above $73,000 as investors return to cryptocurrency markets despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The rally highlights how digital assets are regaining momentum after months of volatility and falling prices. Institutional demand, ETF inflows, and derivatives positioning are now driving the latest move.

Bitcoin Jumps to One-Month High

The world’s largest cryptocurrency surged as much as 8.9 percent to around $74,000, its highest level in about a month. The move marked the biggest one-day gain since last Wednesday.

The spike comes after weeks of uncertainty in crypto markets following a sharp selloff in early October.

Ether also climbed strongly. The second-largest cryptocurrency jumped as much as 13 percent to trade near $2,200.

“The market is moving away from crisis pricing and into a consolidation phase where positioning, rather than panic hedging, becomes the dominant driver of price action,” according to a report from blockchain analytics firm Glassnode.

Short Squeeze Fuels the Rally

Part of the surge appears to have been driven by traders who had bet on further declines.

Bitcoin experienced heavy short selling earlier this week as investors rotated away from risk assets and sought safer holdings, traders said.

“Short sellers were too confident that the market would keep falling and placed their orders too close to the market,” said Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro.

“Finding itself near the upper limit of the February range, Bitcoin only needed to take a step up to trigger a short squeeze. Add to this the oversold conditions that had been building since October, and you have the perfect mix for a surge.”

When short sellers are forced to buy back positions to limit losses, prices can move sharply higher. That dynamic helped accelerate the latest rally.

ETF Inflows Signal Institutional Demand

Institutional flows are also supporting the market.

U.S.-listed Bitcoin exchange-traded funds pulled in more than $680 million over the past two days, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Demand in derivatives markets has also increased.

“There’s strong demand in the perpetual futures market after Bitcoin’s price had been consolidating for the past month,” said Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant. “Open interest spiked as prices increase, indicating traders opened fresh long positions.”

Rising open interest in futures markets often signals new capital entering the trade rather than investors simply closing positions.

Crypto Rebounds Despite Geopolitical Tension

The rally is taking place during a period of heightened geopolitical risk.

Bitcoin dropped to about $63,000 after weekend strikes by the United States and Israel on Iran. Markets feared the conflict could escalate across the Middle East, a region central to global energy supply.

But sentiment improved as stocks climbed and oil prices stabilized amid signs the conflict may not escalate as quickly as feared.

That shift helped risk assets rebound, including cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin Still Far Below Its Peak

Despite the rebound, Bitcoin remains roughly 40 percent below its October peak after months of selling pressure.

Glassnode said ETF flows are showing early signs of stabilization. A continued recovery would indicate improving institutional sentiment.

Price volatility itself may also help revive activity.

After months of slow declines, larger price swings can draw back retail traders while offering opportunities for institutional trading desks.

Washington’s Crypto Debate Adds Another Layer

Political developments in the United States are also shaping sentiment.

President Donald Trump recently criticized banks for lobbying against his cryptocurrency agenda as his administration pushes forward with new crypto market structure legislation.

In a post on his Truth Social platform late Tuesday, Trump said the crypto industry “cannot be taken from the People of America” and warned that failing to support it would allow China to gain ground.

Policy clarity in Washington has become an important factor for institutional investors deciding how much capital to allocate to digital assets.

Bitcoin Versus Gold in a Turbulent Market

Cryptocurrency supporters often describe Bitcoin as a digital alternative to gold. The idea is that investors could turn to it as a hedge during periods of geopolitical stress.

That narrative weakened earlier this year. Gold surged while Bitcoin fell sharply.

Recently, the trend has reversed. Bitcoin has risen about 12 percent since Friday, outperforming gold, which has fallen roughly 2 percent during the same period.

“Capital may be rotating back into crypto as gold takes a back seat,” said Frank Chaparro, head of content and special projects at crypto trading firm GSR.

“Gold doubled while Bitcoin was cut in half, and against a backdrop of geopolitical tensions, sanctions, war, money printing and widening budget deficits, Bitcoin feels like it’s been left for dead relative to other assets. That kind of positioning can flip quickly when sentiment turns.”

Risks Remain as War Continues

Despite the rebound, analysts caution that the market remains fragile.

The Israel-Iran conflict entered its fifth day on Wednesday, with both sides continuing to exchange missile strikes and air attacks. Hundreds of people have been reported killed in Iran and dozens elsewhere in the region. The United States has also confirmed the deaths of six servicemen.

Volatility in global equity markets could also weigh on crypto.

“We still consider the situation too fragile to say that the bottom has been reached,” Kuptsikevich said. “Bitcoin is vulnerable due to the increased volatility of stock indices, which is forcing institutional investors to reduce their leverage.”

For now, Bitcoin’s surge shows how quickly sentiment can shift in the digital asset market. But the path ahead remains tied to global risk appetite, institutional flows and the evolving geopolitical landscape.